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Understanding the impact of decrease in block reward

Decrease in Block Reward | Insights on Transaction Dynamics and Miner Incentives

By

Billy Markus

Jun 9, 2025, 12:34 AM

Edited By

Nicolas Brown

Updated

Jun 12, 2025, 11:41 AM

2 minutes of duration

Bitcoin miners in a facility working on computers to validate transactions as block rewards decrease.
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A shift in the cryptocurrency world raises questions about miner earnings as block rewards drop to near zero. Discussions on various forums highlight concerns over transaction fees as a primary income source and the implications for network activity and user experiences.

Rethinking Miner Incentives

As the total block reward nears zero by 2140, reliance on transaction fees raises uncertainty. Miners will need to choose which transactions to include based on the fees offeredβ€”a system some say mirrors how market incentives work in everyday life.

"If you call a taxi and offer zero dollars, you'll go nowhere," said a commentator, highlighting the essence of incentivization. As the rewards diminish, not all transactions will be processed if they don’t present sufficient fees.

What Happens to Low or No-Fee Transactions?

With potential shifts in miner behavior, low or no-fee transactions could languish in the mempool. As one user pointed out, similar to historical examples in postal services, transaction processing may prioritize more profitable offerings, leading to delays for lower-value transactions.

Miners might eventually ignore slow-paying transactions. However, the decentralized nature of Bitcoin suggests that others will step in to process transactions eventually.

Gradual Reduction and Mining Activity

Experts note that the gradual decrease in block rewards blurs the lines of mining profitability. Some suggest that, eventually, mining could transition into a low-cost hobby for those untroubled by profitβ€”reminiscent of how it operated in Bitcoin's early days.

"At some point, if the total fee amount per block is too low for mining to be profitable, mining becomes a low-cost non-profit hobby," warned a voice from the forum.

Complex Environment of Transaction Fees

As miners start relying solely on transaction fees:

  • Fee Structures: Transaction fees will dictate which transactions miners prioritize, pushing lower fees aside.

  • Competitive Marketplace: Miners will operate in a competitive environment; only transactions with substantial fees will make it into blocks.

  • User Impact: Users should brace for fluctuating fees. As one expert highlighted, innovative solutions like the Lightning Network might help mitigate costs for standard transactions, but changes are expected.

What Lies Ahead?

A critical question arises: how will this affect everyday users? Varying costs could redefine how people approach cryptocurrency transactions in the future. While some suggest fees could spike as miners adjust their strategies, others advocate that layers like Lightning will offer solutions to keep fees manageable.

  • β–³ Incentives will be critical as block rewards approach zero.

  • β–½ Miners' progression from rewards to fees may alter birth of transaction habits.

  • β€» "Not all transactions will be processed if they don’t present sufficient fees” - A poignant commentary on transaction dynamics.

As this landscape evolves, challenges in transaction efficiency and cost might mirror past economic transitions, prompting users to rethink their engagement with cryptocurrency.