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Experts weigh in: when does the bear market begin?

Speculation Grows | Bear Market Predictions Spark Debate Amid Cycle Continuation

By

Aisha Khan

Jul 15, 2025, 04:43 PM

2 minutes of duration

Experts discussing Bitcoin trends and bear market signals in a meeting
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As Bitcoin enthusiasts speculate on the future, a lively discussion emerges on when the upcoming bear market will hit. Users on various forums have started to share their predictions, raising questions and expectations for trends in the crypto market.

Key Predictions and User Insights

A recent thread highlights contrasting opinions on when a bearish trend may commence. Some predict that the bear market could start between November 2025 and March 2026. This aligns with previous Bitcoin cycles where significant corrections have typically followed rallies.

"July and August may show strength, but September could see a correction," one commenter noted.

Others point to prior cycles as indicators, suggesting that if the pattern holds, the current market could reflect similar timing.

Main Themes in the Discussion

  • Timing of Market Movement: Many users articulate expectations for market cycles, speculating that corrections can be predicted based on historical data.

  • Psychology of Traders: Experienced participants hint at strategic selling into strength, suggesting that many will try to mitigate losses by front-running the anticipated downturn.

  • Seasonal Influences: The forum conversations reflect that various contributors believe seasonal patterns may impact market behavior, particularly around the fourth quarter.

"If history repeats itself, we might hit another high around October, but who knows how long it will last," another user pointed out.

Sentiment Summary

While some comments reflect optimism about upcoming price rallies, there's a mix of skepticism regarding the bear market's timing. Overall, participants are preparing for a potential downturn, yet remain hopeful for short-term gains.

Key Takeaways

  • 🐻 Many predict the bear market starting between November 2025 and March 2026.

  • πŸ”„ "People who have been around for a few rodeos will try to front run it," expresses the need for caution among traders.

  • 🎒 Expect ups and downs: July and August likely to rally, followed by a correction in September.

Finale: What’s Next for Bitcoin?

As various opinions circulate, the question remains: will past patterns hold true? Only time will tell how these trends will play out. With the crypto ecosystem continually evolving, players in the market must remain vigilant.

Outlook on Market Shifts

Experts predict that a bear market could unfold between November 2025 and March 2026, with chances of volatility peaking around October. There's about a 60% likelihood that Bitcoin's price will rally in July and August before facing corrections in September, mirroring historical patterns seen in previous cycles. Traders are wary, with many preparing to adjust their strategies if the market begins to downturn. The interplay of psychological factors and seasonal trends could further shape these movements, making it crucial for market participants to stay alert.

An Unexpected Echo from the Past

Drawing a parallel to the dot-com bubble of the late 1990s, when many believed that tech stocks could only rise, the current crypto scene shares a similar naive optimism. Just as investors flocked to internet companies, neglecting the fundamentals, today’s Bitcoin enthusiasts may be tempted to ignore warning signals. The allure of quick gains can cloud judgment, but, as history shows, once exuberance gives way to reality, reverberations can be felt throughout the financial landscape.